Why having one strong leader is always bad in the end. “When you have a leader that strong, it creates a lot of big risks for a country — even one as large, productive, and technologically advanced as China. These… Read More »Xi Jinping is the main thing holding China back
Will status quo prevail or not? “If the expected destruction from war rises faster than the value of controlling Taiwan, that widens the bracket, creating more and more buffer room for the status quo. Some of you will recognize this… Read More »The prospects for war with China: Why I see a serious chance of World War III in the next decade
Nuclear weapons are still an issue. “Do we view Hitler’s apocalyptic attitude as a singular historical anomaly? I’d like to believe that, but I can’t. Mao Zedong let tens of millions of his people die in a famine of his… Read More »We still haven’t solved the Nuclear Age
Article explaining why China is likely to start WWIII. “People who have taken a game theory class will immediately see that the way I’ve set this game up, what happens is that China attacks Taiwan AND attacks U.S. bases, and… Read More »Game Theory and WWIII
This is not only US problem but also Europe’s. “[In a war game of a Taiwan invasion], Washington ran out of key munitions in a matter of days…And as a protracted siege ensued, the U.S. was much slower to rebuild,… Read More »Uh, guys, we really should think about spending more on defense
How to arrest presidents and prime ministers
Being a Green Barent isn’t what you think it is
Is US about to collapse like Prussia did? “The Prussian army collapsed not for lack of courage, but because its institutional mindset could not withstand the volatility of an age that demanded adaptability, political intelligence, and creative command.” https://secretaryrofdefenserock.substack.com/p/america-as-prussia-in-1806
Can AI and drones really change war? “These firms thrive on the premise that innovation alone can overcome structural limits, when in reality, producing meaningful combat power at scale requires far more than clever engineering and lean startups. It requires… Read More »The Drone and AI Delusion
A war most know nothing about